andy beshear approval rating
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andy beshear approval ratingandy beshear approval rating

andy beshear approval rating andy beshear approval rating

When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Andy Beshear (D) About About 2022 Election Record 2020 Election Record Site Map Open Menu Close Menu. WebAccording to an October 2020 poll, about 54% of Kentucky residents either approve or strongly approve of the way Gov. Andy Beshear holding lead over all major GOP candidates, One dead after tree falls onto car in Lexington, Chris Baileys Forecast | Potential for tornadoes to spin up across the area, Owner of Lexington tax prep service indicted by federal grand jury, Lexington officials provide update on storm damage, One arrested, one injured in Nicholasville shooting, Big Sandy RECC crews continue working to restore power outages, Family of Letcher County woman offering reward for information on her death. Privacy Policy. Surveys conducted quarterly in 2021 and 2022 among representative samples of at least 5,023 Kentucky voters, with margins of error of +/-1 percentage point. Ryland Barton is WFPL's Managing Editor for Collaboratives. Andy Beshear is the most popular Democratic governor in the U.S. Morning Consult, a research organization, said Beshear has a 59% approval rating, up from 55% in the spring. His approval rating stands at 60% to just 34% disapproval, with support from 87% of Democrats, 49% of independents and even 46% of Republicans. The results from Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategies are a boon to the governors bid for reelection this year, despite an electorate that has consistently voted for Republicans in other statewide contests. Dont know/No opinion responses are not shown. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Heres what you need to know about Andy Beshear. 2023, Charter Communications, all rights reserved. 11% said they remain undecided in that scenario. Governor Beshear also leads Ryan Quarles 52-35% with 13% undecided, as well as Mike Harmon, with a 53-33% lead with 14% undecided. WebGovernor"Andy Beshear is the incumbent Democratic governor who is seeking a second term, after edging Republican Gov. The poll was conducted with a total of 625 registered voters between January 18-23 and were randomly selected and called. Andy Beshear lacked the experience and political following usually needed to be an effective leader of a diverse and often fractious state. , an advantage he will not likely have this fall as he faces a slate of potential Republican challengers, including state Attorney General Daniel Cameron, former U.S. ambassador to Canada and the United Nations Kelly Craft and Agricultural Commissioner Ryan Quarles. The coronavirus pandemic began three months after he was sworn in. Beshear isn't up for re-election until 2023, but his name made the list as the 12th most popular governorand highest Democrat on the list in terms of job approval. All that being said, Kentucky is a Republican-trending state, and by the time Nov. 7, 2023, rolls around, it will probably have more voters registered as Republicans than as Democrats. Beshear long ago quit hectoring the unvaccinated. | Dozens rally against bills impacting LGBTQ in downtown Louisville, 'We can handle it': Fans brave the weather for Big Nita's Cheesecake, Louisville activists push for pot pardons for low-level offenses, following President Biden's move, 'Team Kentucky' standard license plate coming soon, Kentucky recovers $15 million investment in failed project. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. OXON HILL, Md.Heather Wilson, co-founder of the crowdfunding platform GiveSendGo, told The Daily Signal that the Anti-Defamation League, a prominent Jewish legal advocacy group, smeared her organization. Andy Beshear is the most popular Democratic governor according to a new poll released on April 28. FRANKFORT, Ky. (FOX 56) New polls released today show both Gov. The data were collected through a series of surveys conducted from January through March this year. But early in the pandemic, Kentuckians got to know Andy Beshear, perhaps in a way no Kentucky governor has ever been known. More than a third of the Republicans polled said they believe Governor Beshear is doing a good job. Democratic Governor Andy Beshear signed the bill into law on Friday, A poll taken from mid-July to mid-October 2021 gave him overall approval of Andy Beshear. In contrast, the new poll found low approval ratings for the Republican Majority in the state legislature. In the 2020 Democratic primary, Booker lost to retired Marine fighter pilot Amy McGrath by less than 3%. For, Updates | Crews continue to restore power as thousands remain in the dark after wind storm, 'Trans rights are human rights!' Andy Beshear and the commonwealth, Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Made with by creatives with a conscience. Andy Beshear (D) has handled the coronavirus outbreak in the state. Morning Consult said the new ratings are driven largely by increasingly positive reviews from Kentuckys Republican voters. As Beshear runs for reelection, those announcements will become reality and political assets, but a bigger factor may be the pandemic that still alters American life because so many Americans wont get vaccinated. Notifications can be turned off anytime in the browser settings. The margin for error is plus/minus 4%. 2024 GOP Primary Polling The latest polling for every state in the union, updated daily. Matt Bevins unpopularity, an advantage he will not likely have this fall as he faces a slate of potential Republican challengers, including state Attorney General Daniel Cameron, former U.S. ambassador to Canada and the United Nations Kelly Craft and Agricultural Commissioner Ryan Quarles. is up for re-election this fall, and begins the year with a 49% approval rating and a 41% disapproval rating. Though half of Kentucky Republicans give Beshear negative marks, 46% Beshears performance. He polled at 39% with that group. Andy Beshears approval rating A new poll shows Democratic Gov. Beshear was elected in 2019 as the 63rd governor of Kentucky, unseating Republican Matt Bevin with the help of just over 5,000 votes. inaugurated the nations second-youngest governor. Red govenors in blue states are commonMassachusetts, Vermont and Maryland are current examplesand they've traditionally had some of the highest approval ratings. Latest Polls 2024 Senate Forecast All rights reserved. A new poll shows that Kentucky Gov. The results from Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategies are a boon to the governors bid for reelection this year, despite an electorate that has consistently voted for Republicans in other statewide contests. State Auditor Mike Harmon scored 5%. Cameron currently leads all GOP gubernatorial challengers with 39% support, with 13% backing former UN ambassador Kelly Craft, 8% backing Agriculture Commissioner Ryan Quarles, 5% backing Auditor Mike Harmon and 7% backing other candidates, including 2% for Somerset Mayor Alan Keck. Thats 5% higher than a poll taken last year by the same organization. That margin gets wider with other candidates, with the governor leading Kelly Craft 57-32% with 11% undecided. Gov. Roughly half of Kentucky independents (49%) approve of Beshears job performance, along with 87% of Democrats in the Bluegrass State. In a poll taken by Morning Consult, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear is the most popular Democratic governor in the United States, with an approval rating of 59%.He is also the 12th governor in the list overall, just barely behind Mike DeWine of Ohio at 60%. The poll shows 11 Republican governors with higher approval ratings, and Beshear coming in 12th as the first Democrat, just after Mike DeWine of Ohio, who posted a 60% mark. Opinion: In another time, Andy Beshear would look like a shoo-in for another term Republican Gov. Charlie Baker of Massachusetts topped the list with a 74% approval rating. Beshears first term in office has been marked by tragedies. Get hyperlocal forecasts, radar and weather alerts. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Download the WHAS11 News app now. That popularity carries over from the 2019 election. The results from Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategies are a boon to the governors bid for reelection this year, despite an electorate that has consistently voted for Republicans in other statewide contests. Andy Beshear is the most popular Democratic governor in the U.S. The surveys margin of error is +4.1%. Beshear, Daniel Cameron performed the best, trailing the Governor 49-40% with 11% undecided. The numbers also show Beshear has stronger support among women and people younger than 50 than among men and people 50 and older. The findings come from a survey conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang among 601 likely voters in Kentucky between September 12-15. Txt HELP for help, STOP to end. Though half of Kentucky Republicans give Beshear negative marks, 46% give a thumbs-up to his handling of the job, making him the most popular Democratic governor with voters of the opposite party as well. The poll also focused on the U.S. Senate race between Republican incumbent Sen. Rand Paul and former State Rep. Charles Booker, a Democrat. By, Rafael Violy, the architect behind the 'Walkie-Talkie' building, has died, Cannabis business owner now earns praise for what he was once arrested for, A look at approaches to address violent crime, Northern Ireland businesses are cautiously optimistic about EU trade agreement, The U.S. is playing catch-up in the EV battery market, says Biden energy adviser, The covert effort to get abortion pills into Ukraine, Beshear unveils sweeping budget, GOP to move fast on their plans, Kentucky surpasses one million COVID-19 cases, numbers still climbing, Kentucky officials say omicron could be nearing its peak, Beshear: Tornado clean-up, rebuild in Mayfield could take two years. Kentucky Gov. Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy collected the data over a six-day period, starting on Jan. 18. Jim Justice, whos reportedly eyeing a run for U.S. Senate in West Virginia, has a 64% approval rating 24 percentage points higher than, Democratic Sen. Joe Manchins approval rating. Net approval rating the approval share minus the disapproval share is used to break ties. While Kentuckians who dont approve of the job hes doing went down four points to 32%. A new poll shows Democratic Gov. He fared better than all other major Republican candidates against the incumbent. The group included 273 Democrats, 287 Republicans, and 65 independents. Booker explained that hes used to being the underdog in polls. Attorney General Daniel Cameron, state senator Max Wise, Ag commissioner Ryan Quarles and former UN ambassador Kelly Craft are all generating buzz for the 2023 election. Beshear has drawn a crowd of 12 Republicans vying for the chance to unseat him. The stat may sound surprising in a deeply red Former UN Ambassador Kelly Craft was the only other candidate to score double digits with 13% of the vote. Dont know/No opinion responses are not shown. Primaries will be held on May 16, 2023. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party. Beshear had double-digit leads against the next three candidates: Kelly Craft, Ryan Quarles, and Mike Harmon. While NH is our first interactive forecast for the 24 presidential LOUISVILLE, Ky. (WDRB) -- Kentucky Gov. The only group he did not receive a majority approval with is Republicans. Gov. Stay tuned. On both a demographic and geographical basis, Paul outpolled Booker in every category with exception of Democrats and residents of Metro Louisville. Matt Bevin in 2019 by 5,189 votes. Former U.N. LOUISVILLE, Ky. A brand new poll has revealed Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear has increased his approval rating as one of the most popular governors in America. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Surveys conducted Oct. 1-Dec. 31, 2022, among representative samples of registered voters in each state, with margins of error of +/-1 to 5 percentage points. In September, Republican legislators followed the sentiments of their partys vocal and growing libertarian wing and stripped the governor of his emergency pandemic powers. Andy Beshear is at a 60% statewide approval rating, according to a poll done by Mason-Dixon Polling and Strategy. Its not that simple; Beshear still has powers and responsibilities. A new poll shows that Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear is popular and has strong support across party lines, with a job rating of 62% approve and 36% disapprove. Al Cross, a former Courier Journal political writer, is professor and director of the Institute for Rural Journalism and Community Issues at the University of Kentucky. Gov. When Beshear sent state troopers to noncompliant churches to put notices on cars telling people they should quarantine themselves, Republicans began criticizing Beshear, and they havent stopped. The poll also showed senator rand paul is comfortably ahead in his re-election race polling at 55%. Andy Beshear is enjoying rarified air for a politician with a massive approval rating. What it means for Gov. Copy editing by Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan and Curtis Yee. WebThe data shows Governor Beshear with a 61% approval rating. And the 34-year-old Republican gives the credit for that to a Democrat Gov. But his moderation has endeared him to voters in his home state of West Indicates a polling average for this poll type. The winner of the 2023 gubernatorial election is scheduled to be sworn in on December 12, 2023. Andy Beshear is the most popular Democratic governor in the country, with 59% approval per @MorningConsult. First, Gov. A new poll shows Democratic Gov. And these were powers no governor had ever used statewide: closing schools and nonessential businesses, ordering citizens to wear masks, and prohibiting gatherings even church services. People were hungry for facts and guidance, and Beshear and Health Commissioner Steven Stack did a generally good job of delivering both. All rights reserved. Credit: AP. A new poll shows Democratic Gov. His 59% favorable rating also makes him the most popular Democratic governor in the U.S., according to Morning Consult. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the true figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed, the release from Mason-Dixon explains. Agriculture Commissioner Ryan Quarles scored 8%. A new poll shows Democratic Gov. @eyokley, Download Fastest Growing Brands 2022 Report, Bryan Woolston/The Associated Press, GISGeography / Morning Consult artwork by Chloe Phan, Beshear Is Popular With Kentuckians Ahead of Re-Election Fight. The poll found that 55% of Kentuckians would vote for Paul if an election was held today, whereas Booker received 39% of that vote. Andy Beshear is popular and has strong When Stack said Dec. 2, The longer we have large percents [sic] of the population unvaccinated, the longer this lingers and the more the problem kind of festers," Beshear spread the responsibility much more widely: The way I would kind of translate that is were only finally gonna defeat COVIDas one world, and its still gonna take some time until we can get enough vaccines to the entire world.. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? WebIncumbent Democratic Governor Andy Beshear is running for re-election to a second term. A poll released this week showed that Gov. Andy Beshears approval rating is on the rise in Kentucky. The Democratic governor went from 55% approval in February 2021 to 60% approval this January, according to a statewide poll performed by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy. Beshear scored 58% or higher in each part of Kentucky. Andy Beshear starts off with a lead over GOP candidates according to new poll, and his approval ratings remain high. He remains rhetorically challenged, often searching for the right word or phrase in the right order, but that may appeal to voters suspicious of sales pitches from slicker politicians. Andrea Jones-Rooy, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Beshear earns the honor if you go by Morning Consults new poll, released today. For Morning Consults state-level survey data, weights are applied to each state separately based on age, gender, education, race, home ownership, marital status, presidential voting history and for a subset of states race by education as well as an age-by-gender interaction. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. Andy Beshear is the incumbent Democratic governor who is seeking a second term, after edging Republican Gov. Tate Reeves (R-Miss.) Andy Beshear is a born-and-raised Kentuckian. The state has now surpassed one million cases with, Kentucky officials continue to report record high COVID-19 cases, but say the peak of at least the omicron variant is in sight. Download it here, Gov. Pollsters surveyed 625 registered Kentucky voters by telephone. He also received a great amount of support from lawmakers at the local, state and federal level for his actions following the devastating December tornadoes. Beshear has moved up to 9th from 12th when the poll was first conducted in the spring. Who will that be? Beshear is doing in office, with 29% disapproving and 10% unsure. However, 28% of voters surveyed were still unsure about which candidate to support. Of those three, Craft had the weakest showing, winning just 32% of the vote compared to Camerons 40% in his matchup. Beshear has moved up to 9th from 12th when the Morning Consult poll was first conducted in the spring. Matt Bevins unpopularity. Beshear has continued to put Kentucky families and the Kentucky economy ahead of politics, and with his leadership, we are emerging with the strongest economy in our history, Kentucky Democratic Party Executive Director Sebastian Kitchen said in a press release. That number is up just slightly from the 60% approval rating the governor had last January. ForAppleorAndroidusers. Andy Beshear with a 61% approval rating, the highest of his first four-year term in office. The survey shows Bidens overall job approval rating dipping from 59% last month to 54%. Before he was elected Governor Andy Beshear with a 61% approval Statewide, 53% say they approve of Beshears performance, while only 39% disapprove. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? This is an archived article and the information in the article may be outdated. Geographically, Beshear received the largest approval from residents of Camerons performance is approved of by 54% of voters, with only 34% disapproving. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. Andy Beshear with a 61% approval rating, the highest of his first four-year term in office. WebBESHEAR. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. It was 60% this time last All rights reserved. The M Logo and MORNING CONSULT are registered trademarks of Morning Consult Holdings, Inc. Six in 10 Kentucky voters approve of Beshears job performance while 34% disapprove, according to data collected Oct. 1-Dec. 31. Example video title will go here for this video. Andy Beshear remains overwhelmingly positive as the Democrat prepares to defend his seat this year, placing him again among the nations 10 most popular governors, according to Morning Consult Political Intelligence tracking surveys. 2023 www.courier-journal.com. Scott, who is the only member of that trio who may seek re-election this Additionally, Beshears approval rating has remained consistent: 03/31/21 58% 06/30/21 Jury's out on if that was a good idea, Here's why it's hard to clean up toxic waste from the East Palestine train derailment, Emotions spill over in East Palestine in contentious public meeting, Cincinnati officials support Amazon Air unionization effort, An update on the Cincinnati Hamilton County library system's expansion and renovations, Ohio Attorney General certifies proposed language for abortion rights constitutional amendment, UPDATED: Bockfest closes some roads in Over-the-Rhine Saturday, Nuxhall's Miracle League Fields is taking a team on the road for the first time, West End homeowners brace for change as development north of TQL stadium moves forward. Democratic Attorneys General Association is a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party (internal). But just as the General Assembly was ready to steamroll Beshear on the budget and other issues, the coronavirus arrived and turned politics upside down. Facing re-election this year, Wisconsin's Tony Evers only has a 45% approval rating, compared to 48% disapproval. Report: Beshear's approval rating among highest of all US governors. Andy Beshear is doing as Kentuckys Governor. Gov. Though many Republicans rankled at the governors handling of the coronavirus pandemic, polling has consistently suggested that the public is supportive of Beshears job performance. As Kentuckys attorney general, Beshear is known for suing Bevin several times, including over budget cuts to the state university system and pension reform. Heres what you need to know about Andy Beshear. 1. Andy Beshears Dad, Steve Beshear, Served 2 Terms as Governor of Kentucky Steve Beshear speaks at the Fancy Farm picnic August 2, 2014. Pollsters say theres a 4% margin for error. Gov. By, The Ohio Newsroom: A Public Media Collaboration, And a massive flood devastated eastern Kentucky, 2 more public hearings scheduled for feedback on Cincinnati's residential tax abatement overhaul, Analysis: Larry Householder testified in his own defense. Thats more than all other GOP candidates combined. The governor received a positive grade from 80 percent of Democrats and 29 percent of Republicans, with his most favorable numbers coming from the Louisville, Lexington, and northern Kentucky regions. Kentucky Gov. Beshear remains popular in Kentucky with a 61% job approval rating, according to poll results released in January. Have a news tip? Looking at the demographic makeup of the poll, Beshear received more support among women, people over the age of 50 and Democrats regardless of age or gender. 61% of registered voters polled had approved of the job Gov. The poll still shows Cameron losing to Beshear by nine points in a head-to-head race. 39% of likely Republican primary voters said theyd vote for Daniel Cameron if the primary election happened today. Its also a Donald Trump state, and if the Former Guy isnt convicted or facing a publicly persuasive indictment by then, he is likely to be an effective campaigner for the Republican nominee. Even against one of the most well-funded campaigns in the U.S., I came within inches of winning.. *Denotes governor has retired. Republican Gov. Beshear files paperwork to run for re-election, Kentucky AG says he's keeping options open for 2023 election, California Consumer Limit the Use of My Sensitive Personal Information, California Consumer Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. In Kentucky, Beshear indeed faces an uphill battle in a state that, despite its history of Democratic governors, has voted overwhelmingly Republican in federal races over the past two decades. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Still, the incumbents appeal to non-Democrats is welcome news and a legitimate upside for a party seeking to maintain possession of two of the three governors mansions that are up for grabs this fall. Primaries will be held on May 16, 2023. POLL: Gov. In almost every case, including Kentucky's, Democrats like Beshear have a markedly higher approval rating than President Joe Biden. Kentucky State Auditor Mike Harmon and retired attorney Eric Deters have each declared their candidacy, but there are many more who have either expressed interest publically or are considering the run privately. Andy Beshear and his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, including the mask requirement. Fifty-nine percent of registered voters in Kentucky approve of Beshears job performance while 36% disapprove. Ned Lamont of Connecticut are clear outliers, as most of the countrys most popular governors in late 2022 were Republicans. Governor approval ratings have nothing to do with partisanship, theres a reason why Andy Beshear has a 60% approval rating in Trump+26 Kentucky" But America is more partisan now thats why he has a lower approval rating! Most popular and unpopular governors are ranked by the largest approval and disapproval shares, respectively. Gen. Keith Kellogg and Jan Jekielek Discuss US Military Readiness and Chinas Threat at CPAC 2023. Looking across the map, Beshear and Democratic Gov. Beshear's approval rating was highest among voters from the Louisville Metro area, at 69%, and it was lowest among voters in Western Kentucky, at 51%. Download the WHAS11 News app now. 2023 Morning Consult, All Rights Reserved. To see more, visit Louisville Public Media. Vermont's Phil Scott and Maryland's Larry Hogan are #2 and #3 respectively. A poll released this week showed that Gov. Laura Kelly of Kansas and John Bel Edwards of Louisiana. Steve Sisolak of Nevada narrowly lost his re-election bid despite maintaining an approval rating of at least 50% in the third and fourth quarters of 2022. McGrath would go on to lose in the primary race to the incumbent, then Sen. Polling firm Morning Consult released the results of their new surveys in all 50 states Thursday, finding that Beshear's 59% approval rating among Kentucky respondents ranks higher than any other Democratic governor in the country. Race to the WH. Andy Beshear and Senator Rand Paul are rising in popularity.Beshears approval rating has increased five points over the past year bringing it to 60%. Sen. Rand Paul Senior editor at The Epoch Times, Jan Jekielek, and co-chairman of the Center Kentucky's economic hot streak:What it means for Gov. Biden held a -33 net approval rating in Kentucky as of March 2022. All but eight governors in the nation are backed by at least 50% of their state's electorate. A new poll shows Kentuckians strongly support Gov. Margins of error for responses from all voters in each state range from 1 to 5 points. The revelationfollows a Morning Consult report that examined the popularity of governors facing re-election this year. In my previous run for office, I was outspent over 40 to 1, and about 6 months before Election Day, polls had me down 50 points, Booker said in an emailed statement. Make it easy to keep up-to-date with more stories like this. The second-most common answer was undecided with 28%. Front Page White House and show information like candidates' approval ratings, and their support with different demographic groups. What was Andy Beshear thinking proposing Waterfront Park expansion without GOP support? He had been attorney general, but that office had never directly produced a governor before. The poll also shows that he leads all of his major Republican challengers head-to-head if the election were held today. But blue governors in red states, while nearly as common as the alternative, haven't seen nearly as much success as Beshear sees in Kentucky. Emailassign@whas11.com, visit ourFacebook pageorTwitter feed. Copyright 2023 WKYT. That includes a positive job rating of 95% with Democrats, 60% with Independents and an impressive 40% with Republicans. Women are bigger fans of him than men, and the poll found he has a 61% approval rating among independents. A former state attorney general and the son of a former two-term governor, Beshear scraped out a win in 2019 by 4,000 votes, or 0.4% of the final margin, against the incumbent, Republican Matt And a massive flood devastated eastern Kentucky in the summer of 2022. While Kelly defeated her Republican challenger in November, Democratic Gov. A former state attorney general and the son of a former two-term governor, Beshear scraped out a win in 2019 by 4,000 votes, or 0.4% of the final margin, against the incumbent, Republican Matt The Paul campaign viewed the poll as evidence that Kentucky voters stand by his political positions. PublishedJanuary 28, 2022 at 3:21 PM CST, Gov. A brand new poll has revealed Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear has In Kentucky, four people were confirmed to have died, Governor Andy Beshear said in a tweet on Saturday after declaring a state of emergency. It was 60% this time last year. The data shows Governor Beshear with a 61% approval rating. Copyright 2023 Louisville Public Media. His disapproval rating dropped from 39% to 35%. In Kentucky, Beshear indeed faces an uphill battle in a state that, despite its history of Democratic governors, has voted overwhelmingly Republican in federal races over the past two decades. pic.twitter.com/V7GPJ57K5Z. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls.

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